Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Angela Hill won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 21, 2019·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Model Prediction: Ariane Carnelossi wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Angela Hill wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Angela Hill has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Angela Hill has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ariane Carnelossi
Red Corner
VS
Angela Hill
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
33
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'2"
Height
5'3"
154.94 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ariane Carnelossi
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Na Liang · Apr 21W
SUBvs Istela Nunes · Oct 21L
vs Loopy Godinez · May 22W
vs Piera Rodriguez · May 24L
SUBvs Talita Alencar · Nov 25Angela HillL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Luana Pinheiro · May 24L
vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24W
vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25L
vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ariane CarnelossiMetricAngela Hill
2.63
Strikes / min
5.37
4.61
Strikes absorbed / min
5.02
44%
Strike defense
60%
1.08
TDs / 15 min
0.75
22%
Takedown defense
72%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.98Δ 2.33 — meaningful gap+0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ariane CarnelossiAngela Hill
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ariane Carnelossi(6 fights)Angela Hill(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+39.0-39.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+46.0-46.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.9-49.9
Ariane Carnelossi
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach61.0"
Fights6
Angela Hill
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights29