Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Loopy Godinez won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 7, 2022·Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Ariane Carnelossi wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Loopy Godinez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Loopy Godinez has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Loopy Godinez has 54pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ariane Carnelossi
Red Corner
VS
Loopy Godinez
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-195
(66%)
33
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'2"
Height
5'2"
154.94 cm
Reach
154.94 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ariane Carnelossi
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Angela Hill · Sep 19W
KOvs Na Liang · Apr 21W
SUBvs Istela Nunes · Oct 21W
vs Piera Rodriguez · May 24L
SUBvs Talita Alencar · Nov 25Loopy GodinezW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tabatha Ricci · Nov 23L
vs Virna Jandiroba · Mar 24L
vs Mackenzie Dern · Aug 24W
vs Julia Polastri · Mar 25W
vs Jessica Andrade · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ariane CarnelossiMetricLoopy Godinez
2.63
Strikes / min
4.43
4.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.94
44%
Strike defense
62%
1.08
TDs / 15 min
2.99
22%
Takedown defense
76%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.98Δ 2.47 — meaningful gap+0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ariane CarnelossiLoopy Godinez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ariane Carnelossi(6 fights)Loopy Godinez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.9-12.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Ariane Carnelossi
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach61.0"
Fights6
Loopy Godinez
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach61.0"
Fights14