Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ariane da Silva won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 11, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAriane da Silva: Pressure fightervsJJ Aldrich: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Ariane da Silva wins(58.2%)
Actual result: Ariane da Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ariane da Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- JJ Aldrich has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors JJ Aldrich (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Ariane da Silva
Red Corner
VS
JJ Aldrich
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
-375
(79%)
32
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ariane da SilvaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Melissa Gatto · Jul 23W
SUBvs Casey O'Neill · Dec 23L
vs Karine Silva · Apr 24L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Nov 24L
vs Wang Cong · Jun 25JJ Aldrich
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Erin Blanchfield · Jun 22W
KOvs Liang Na · Aug 23W
vs Montana De La Rosa · Oct 23L
vs Veronica Hardy · May 24W
vs Andrea Lee · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ariane da SilvaMetricJJ Aldrich
4.05
Strikes / min
3.92
4.40
Strikes absorbed / min
4.34
50%
Strike defense
61%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
0.70
68%
Takedown defense
67%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.35evenly matched on net striking-0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ariane da SilvaJJ Aldrich
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ariane da Silva(6 fights)JJ Aldrich(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-41.141.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+48.6-48.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.9-49.9
Ariane da Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6
JJ Aldrich
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights16