Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Karine Silva won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 27, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAriane da Silva: Pressure fightervsKarine Silva: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Ariane da Silva wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Karine Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karine Silva threatens submissions; Ariane da Silva has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Ariane da Silva has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ariane da Silva
Red Corner
VS
Karine Silva
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ariane da SilvaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 23W
vs Melissa Gatto · Jul 23W
SUBvs Casey O'Neill · Dec 23L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Nov 24L
vs Wang Cong · Jun 25Karine Silva
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ketlen Souza · Jun 23W
SUBvs Maryna Moroz · Aug 23L
vs Viviane Araujo · Nov 24W
vs Dione Barbosa · Aug 25L
vs Maycee Barber · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ariane da SilvaMetricKarine Silva
4.05
Strikes / min
2.24
4.40
Strikes absorbed / min
2.74
50%
Strike defense
52%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
1.93
68%
Takedown defense
26%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.35evenly matched on net striking-0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ariane da SilvaKarine Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ariane da Silva(6 fights)Karine Silva(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.5-2.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-119.0119.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
Ariane da Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6
Karine Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights7