Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ariane da Silva won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 1, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAriane da Silva: Pressure fightervsMelissa Gatto: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Ariane da Silva wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Ariane da Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ariane da Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Ariane da Silva
Red Corner
VS
Melissa Gatto
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
32
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ariane da SilvaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 23W
SUBvs Casey O'Neill · Dec 23L
vs Karine Silva · Apr 24L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Nov 24L
vs Wang Cong · Jun 25Melissa Gatto
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Victoria Leonardo · Aug 21W
KOvs Sijara Eubanks · Dec 21L
vs Tracy Cortez · May 22W
KOvs Tamires Vidal · May 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ariane da SilvaMetricMelissa Gatto
4.05
Strikes / min
3.47
4.40
Strikes absorbed / min
2.67
50%
Strike defense
54%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
1.77
68%
Takedown defense
58%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.35Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ariane da SilvaMelissa Gatto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ariane da Silva(6 fights)Melissa Gatto(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-308.0308.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Ariane da Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6
Melissa Gatto
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6