Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Shana Dobson won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Friday, December 1, 2017·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Ariel Beck wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Shana Dobson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ariel Beck has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ariel Beck (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Ariel Beck
Red Corner
VS
Shana Dobson
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
35
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
167.64 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ariel BeckNo prior UFC fights on record.
Shana Dobson
oldest →latest
L
vs Lauren Mueller · Apr 18L
vs Sabina Mazo · Aug 19L
KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Feb 20W
KOvs Mariya Agapova · Aug 20L
KOvs Casey O'Neill · Feb 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ariel BeckMetricShana Dobson
4.44
Strikes / min
3.34
4.31
Strikes absorbed / min
5.20
64%
Strike defense
50%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.84
0%
Takedown defense
14%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.13Δ 1.99 — meaningful gap-1.86
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ariel Beck(1 fights)Shana Dobson(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Ariel Beck
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights1
Shana Dobson
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6