Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mateusz Gamrot (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Arman TsarukyanW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Damir Ismagulov · Dec 22W
KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jun 23W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Dec 23W
vs Charles Oliveira · Apr 24W
SUBvs Dan Hooker · Nov 25 Mateusz Gamrot
oldest →W
vs Ludovit Klein · May 25L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Oct 25W
SUBvs Esteban Ribovics · Apr 26L
SUBvs Quillan Salkilld · Aug 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Arman TsarukyanMetricMateusz Gamrot
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.05Δ 1.65 — meaningful gap+0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Arman TsarukyanMateusz Gamrot
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Arman Tsarukyan(10 fights)Mateusz Gamrot(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +27.7|Blue -27.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -70.0|Blue +70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Arman TsarukyanTargetMateusz Gamrot
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Arman Tsarukyan edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control0:46
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 3Mateusz Gamrot edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:20Control
Round 4Arman Tsarukyan edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:24
Knockdowns1
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:41Control
0Knockdowns
Round 5Mateusz Gamrot edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:29
20Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:23Control
