Lightweight
5 Rounds
Mateusz Gamrot won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, June 25, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupArman Tsarukyan: WrestlervsMateusz Gamrot: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Arman Tsarukyan wins(60.7%)
Actual result: Mateusz Gamrot wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mateusz Gamrot (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Arman Tsarukyan
Red Corner
VS
Mateusz Gamrot
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
29
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Arman TsarukyanW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Damir Ismagulov · Dec 22W
KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jun 23W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Dec 23W
vs Charles Oliveira · Apr 24W
SUBvs Dan Hooker · Nov 25Mateusz Gamrot
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Sep 23W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Mar 24L
vs Dan Hooker · Aug 24W
vs Ludovit Klein · May 25L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Arman TsarukyanMetricMateusz Gamrot
3.85
Strikes / min
3.21
1.80
Strikes absorbed / min
2.81
54%
Strike defense
60%
3.26
TDs / 15 min
5.22
75%
Takedown defense
83%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.05Δ 1.65 — meaningful gap+0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Arman TsarukyanMateusz Gamrot
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Arman Tsarukyan(10 fights)Mateusz Gamrot(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+21.8-21.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Arman Tsarukyan
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11
Mateusz Gamrot
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12