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Lightweight
3 Rounds
6 days away
Elo1529
Arman Tsarukyan
Elo1551

Arman TsarukyanvsMauricio RuffyUFC Prediction

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · Saturday, September 19, 2026Los Angeles, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupArman Tsarukyan: WrestlervsMauricio Ruffy: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Arman Tsarukyan
Red Corner
VS
Mauricio Ruffy
Blue Corner
-358
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+274
(27%)
1529
Elo
1551
29
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Arman TsarukyanW5 streak
oldest →
W
vs Damir Ismagulov · Dec 22
W
KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jun 23
W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Dec 23
W
vs Charles Oliveira · Apr 24
W
SUBvs Dan Hooker · Nov 25
latest
Mauricio RuffyW2 streak
oldest →
W
vs James Llontop · Nov 24
W
KOvs King Green · Mar 25
L
SUBvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 25
W
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jan 26
W
KOvs Michael Chandler · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Arman TsarukyanMetricMauricio Ruffy
3.85
Strikes / min
4.19
1.80
Strikes absorbed / min
4.09
54%
Strike defense
58%
3.26
TDs / 15 min
0.00
75%
Takedown defense
85%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.05Δ 1.95 — meaningful gap+0.10
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901510153015501570← oldermost recent →
Arman Tsarukyan(10 fights)Mauricio Ruffy(6 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO53%

Historical win share: Mauricio Ruffy earned 80% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission47%

Historical win share: Arman Tsarukyan earned 11% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Arman Tsarukyan

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11

Mauricio Ruffy

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights5