Middleweight
3 Rounds
Armen Petrosyan won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 22, 2022·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupArmen Petrosyan: StrikervsAJ Dobson: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Armen Petrosyan wins(51.3%)
Actual result: Armen Petrosyan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Armen Petrosyan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- AJ Dobson has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- AJ Dobson has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Armen Petrosyan
Red Corner
VS
AJ Dobson
Blue Corner
-215
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
35
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'1"
180.34 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Armen PetrosyanL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Caio Borralho · Jul 22W
vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jun 23L
SUBvs Rodolfo Vieira · Feb 24L
KOvs Shara Magomedov · Oct 24L
SUBvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 25AJ Dobson
oldest →latest
L
vs Jacob Malkoun · Feb 22W
vs Tafon Nchukwi · Aug 23L
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Armen PetrosyanMetricAJ Dobson
5.84
Strikes / min
4.29
3.31
Strikes absorbed / min
5.31
53%
Strike defense
46%
0.17
TDs / 15 min
1.67
41%
Takedown defense
65%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.53Δ 3.55 — meaningful gap-1.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Armen PetrosyanAJ Dobson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Armen Petrosyan(7 fights)AJ Dobson(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.2-20.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-147.0147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Armen Petrosyan
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7
AJ Dobson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4