Middleweight
3 Rounds
Armen Petrosyan won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 17, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupArmen Petrosyan: StrikervsChristian Leroy Duncan: Striker
Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.
Model Prediction: Christian Leroy Duncan wins(59.4%)
Actual result: Armen Petrosyan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Armen Petrosyan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Christian Leroy Duncan has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Christian Leroy Duncan (52.9%).
- Christian Leroy Duncan has a 20cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Armen Petrosyan
Red Corner
VS
Christian Leroy Duncan
Blue Corner
+132
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-156
(61%)
35
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'3"
Height
6'2"
180.34 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Armen PetrosyanL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Caio Borralho · Jul 22W
vs AJ Dobson · Oct 22L
SUBvs Rodolfo Vieira · Feb 24L
KOvs Shara Magomedov · Oct 24L
SUBvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 25Christian Leroy DuncanW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Gregory Rodrigues · Jul 24W
vs Andrey Pulyaev · Mar 25W
KOvs Eryk Anders · Aug 25W
KOvs Marco Tulio · Nov 25W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Armen PetrosyanMetricChristian Leroy Duncan
5.84
Strikes / min
4.43
3.31
Strikes absorbed / min
2.59
53%
Strike defense
52%
0.17
TDs / 15 min
0.33
41%
Takedown defense
63%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.53evenly matched on net striking+1.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Armen PetrosyanChristian Leroy Duncan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Armen Petrosyan(7 fights)Christian Leroy Duncan(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Armen Petrosyan
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7
Christian Leroy Duncan
StanceSwitch
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights9