Featherweight
3 Rounds
Arnold Allen won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 16, 2019·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupArnold Allen: Well-roundedvsJordan Rinaldi: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Arnold Allen wins(67.5%)
Actual result: Arnold Allen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Arnold Allen has 51pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Arnold Allen (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Arnold Allen
Red Corner
VS
Jordan Rinaldi
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
32
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Arnold Allen
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Calvin Kattar · Oct 22L
vs Max Holloway · Apr 23L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 24W
vs Giga Chikadze · Jul 24L
vs Jean Silva · Jan 26Jordan Rinaldi
oldest →latest
L
vs Abel Trujillo · May 16W
vs Alvaro Herrera · Aug 17L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 18W
vs Jason Knight · Nov 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Arnold AllenMetricJordan Rinaldi
3.47
Strikes / min
1.56
3.04
Strikes absorbed / min
2.32
60%
Strike defense
59%
0.86
TDs / 15 min
1.45
71%
Takedown defense
20%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.43Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap-0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Arnold AllenJordan Rinaldi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Arnold Allen(10 fights)Jordan Rinaldi(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+55.8-55.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+160.0-160.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Arnold Allen
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights14
Jordan Rinaldi
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5