Featherweight
3 Rounds
Movsar Evloev won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 20, 2024·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupArnold Allen: Well-roundedvsMovsar Evloev: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Movsar Evloev wins(54.9%)
Actual result: Movsar Evloev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Movsar Evloev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Arnold Allen (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Arnold Allen
Red Corner
VS
Movsar Evloev
Blue Corner
+180
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-218
(69%)
32
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Arnold Allen
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Dan Hooker · Mar 22W
KOvs Calvin Kattar · Oct 22L
vs Max Holloway · Apr 23W
vs Giga Chikadze · Jul 24L
vs Jean Silva · Jan 26Movsar EvloevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Jun 21W
vs Dan Ige · Jun 22W
vs Diego Lopes · May 23W
vs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 24W
vs Lerone Murphy · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Arnold AllenMetricMovsar Evloev
3.47
Strikes / min
3.91
3.04
Strikes absorbed / min
2.80
60%
Strike defense
61%
0.86
TDs / 15 min
4.78
71%
Takedown defense
61%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.43evenly matched on net striking+1.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Arnold AllenMovsar Evloev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Arnold Allen(10 fights)Movsar Evloev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.4-18.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Arnold Allen
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights14
Movsar Evloev
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10