Featherweight
3 Rounds
Arnold Allen won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 25, 2020·Raleigh, North Carolina, USA, USA
Style matchupArnold Allen: Well-roundedvsNik Lentz: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Arnold Allen wins(60.4%)
Actual result: Arnold Allen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Arnold Allen has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Arnold Allen has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Arnold Allen (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Arnold Allen
Red Corner
VS
Nik Lentz
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
32
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Arnold Allen
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Calvin Kattar · Oct 22L
vs Max Holloway · Apr 23L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 24W
vs Giga Chikadze · Jul 24L
vs Jean Silva · Jan 26Nik LentzL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs David Teymur · Jun 18W
KOvs Gray Maynard · Oct 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Arnold AllenMetricNik Lentz
3.47
Strikes / min
3.44
3.04
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
60%
Strike defense
50%
0.86
TDs / 15 min
3.30
71%
Takedown defense
43%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.43evenly matched on net striking+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Arnold AllenNik Lentz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Arnold Allen(10 fights)Nik Lentz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.2-15.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Arnold Allen
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights14
Nik Lentz
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22