Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Andrea Lee won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, February 17, 2019·Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupAshlee Evans-Smith: Pressure fightervsAndrea Lee: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Ashlee Evans-Smith wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Andrea Lee wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andrea Lee enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Ashlee Evans-Smith
Red Corner
VS
Andrea Lee
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
38
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ashlee Evans-SmithL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ketlen Vieira · Apr 17L
SUBvs Sarah Moras · Sep 17W
vs Bec Rawlings · Apr 18L
vs Norma Dumont · Nov 20L
vs Ailin Perez · Jul 23Andrea LeeL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Maycee Barber · Mar 23L
vs Natalia Silva · Aug 23L
vs Miranda Maverick · Feb 24L
vs Montana De La Rosa · Jun 24L
vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ashlee Evans-SmithMetricAndrea Lee
4.03
Strikes / min
4.62
4.59
Strikes absorbed / min
3.91
53%
Strike defense
61%
0.95
TDs / 15 min
1.65
50%
Takedown defense
53%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.56Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap+0.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ashlee Evans-SmithAndrea Lee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ashlee Evans-Smith(9 fights)Andrea Lee(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.814.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Ashlee Evans-Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights9
Andrea Lee
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14