Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Emily Ducote won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 14, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAshley Yoder: Well-roundedvsEmily Ducote: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Ashley Yoder wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Emily Ducote wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Emily Ducote enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Emily Ducote has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Emily Ducote has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ashley Yoder (53.5%).
- Ashley Yoder has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ashley Yoder
Red Corner
VS
Emily Ducote
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
38
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'2"
175.26 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ashley YoderL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Randa Markos · Oct 19L
vs Livinha Souza · Aug 20W
vs Miranda Granger · Nov 20L
vs Angela Hill · Mar 21L
vs Jinh Yu Frey · Jul 21Emily DucoteL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jessica Penne · Jul 22L
vs Angela Hill · Dec 22L
vs Loopy Godinez · May 23L
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ashley YoderMetricEmily Ducote
3.42
Strikes / min
7.45
4.13
Strikes absorbed / min
7.84
47%
Strike defense
57%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
0.20
66%
Takedown defense
94%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.71evenly matched on net striking-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ashley YoderEmily Ducote
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ashley Yoder(10 fights)Emily Ducote(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-38.338.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+658.0-658.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Ashley Yoder
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights11
Emily Ducote
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights5