Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Livinha Souza won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, August 15, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAshley Yoder: Well-roundedvsLivinha Souza: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Ashley Yoder wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Livinha Souza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ashley Yoder enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Livinha Souza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ashley Yoder has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ashley Yoder (53.5%).
- Ashley Yoder has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ashley Yoder
Red Corner
VS
Livinha Souza
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-162
(62%)
38
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'3"
175.26 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ashley YoderL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Randa Markos · Oct 19W
vs Miranda Granger · Nov 20L
vs Angela Hill · Mar 21L
vs Jinh Yu Frey · Jul 21L
vs Emily Ducote · Oct 23Livinha SouzaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Alex Chambers · Sep 18W
vs Sarah Frota · Feb 19L
vs Brianna Van Buren · Jul 19L
KOvs Amanda Lemos · Mar 21L
vs Randa Markos · Oct 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ashley YoderMetricLivinha Souza
3.42
Strikes / min
1.75
4.13
Strikes absorbed / min
3.60
47%
Strike defense
56%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
2.54
66%
Takedown defense
40%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.71Δ 1.14 — meaningful gap-1.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ashley YoderLivinha Souza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ashley Yoder(10 fights)Livinha Souza(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-41.141.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-105.0105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Ashley Yoder
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights11
Livinha Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights6