Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Mackenzie Dern won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 3, 2018·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAshley Yoder: Well-roundedvsMackenzie Dern: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Ashley Yoder wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Mackenzie Dern wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ashley Yoder enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mackenzie Dern enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Ashley Yoder has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ashley Yoder (53.5%).
- Ashley Yoder has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ashley Yoder
Red Corner
VS
Mackenzie Dern
Blue Corner
+390
(20%)
Vegas Odds
-490
(83%)
38
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'4"
175.26 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ashley YoderL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Livinha Souza · Aug 20W
vs Miranda Granger · Nov 20L
vs Angela Hill · Mar 21L
vs Jinh Yu Frey · Jul 21L
vs Emily Ducote · Oct 23Mackenzie DernW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Nov 23L
vs Amanda Lemos · Feb 24W
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 24W
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jan 25W
vs Virna Jandiroba · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ashley YoderMetricMackenzie Dern
3.42
Strikes / min
3.47
4.13
Strikes absorbed / min
3.93
47%
Strike defense
51%
1.09
TDs / 15 min
0.93
66%
Takedown defense
37%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.71evenly matched on net striking-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ashley YoderMackenzie Dern
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ashley Yoder(10 fights)Mackenzie Dern(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-32.032.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.548.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Ashley Yoder
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights11
Mackenzie Dern
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights16