Flyweight
3 Rounds
Asu Almabayev won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 15, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Asu Almabayev wins(60.6%)
Actual result: Asu Almabayev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jose Johnson has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Asu Almabayev
Red Corner
VS
Jose Johnson
Blue Corner
-395
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+310
(24%)
32
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
6'0"
165.1 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Asu AlmabayevW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs CJ Vergara · Mar 24W
vs Matheus Nicolau · Oct 24L
KOvs Manel Kape · Mar 25W
vs Jose Ochoa · Jul 25W
SUBvs Alex Perez · Nov 25Jose Johnson
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Aug 23W
SUBvs Chad Anheliger · Nov 23L
SUBvs Felipe Bunes · Jan 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Asu AlmabayevMetricJose Johnson
2.31
Strikes / min
2.27
1.99
Strikes absorbed / min
1.61
53%
Strike defense
53%
4.46
TDs / 15 min
0.69
44%
Takedown defense
41%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.32evenly matched on net striking+0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Asu AlmabayevJose Johnson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Asu Almabayev(7 fights)Jose Johnson(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.9-31.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-112.0112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
Asu Almabayev
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7
Jose Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4