Flyweight
3 Rounds
Asu Almabayev won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 26, 2025·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupAsu Almabayev: WrestlervsJose Ochoa: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Asu Almabayev wins(70.2%)
Actual result: Asu Almabayev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jose Ochoa has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jose Ochoa (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Asu Almabayev
Red Corner
VS
Jose Ochoa
Blue Corner
-108
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-108
(52%)
32
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'4"
Height
5'7"
165.1 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Asu Almabayev
oldest →latest
W
vs CJ Vergara · Mar 24W
vs Jose Johnson · Jun 24W
vs Matheus Nicolau · Oct 24L
KOvs Manel Kape · Mar 25W
SUBvs Alex Perez · Nov 25Jose Ochoa
oldest →latest
L
vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Nov 24W
KOvs Cody Durden · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Asu AlmabayevMetricJose Ochoa
2.31
Strikes / min
5.16
1.99
Strikes absorbed / min
2.99
53%
Strike defense
58%
4.46
TDs / 15 min
0.30
44%
Takedown defense
65%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.32Δ 1.85 — meaningful gap+2.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Asu AlmabayevJose Ochoa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Asu Almabayev(7 fights)Jose Ochoa(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+44.9-44.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+105.0-105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
Asu Almabayev
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7
Jose Ochoa
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3