Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ateba Gautier won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 19, 2025·New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Ateba Gautier wins(53.0%)
Actual result: Ateba Gautier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ateba Gautier enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Ateba Gautier is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Robert Valentin has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Ateba Gautier has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ateba Gautier has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ateba Gautier (52.9%).
- Ateba Gautier has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Ateba Gautier
Red Corner
VS
Robert Valentin
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
24
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
205.74 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ateba GautierW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jose Daniel Medina · Mar 25W
KOvs Tre'ston Vines · Oct 25W
vs Andrey Pulyaev · Jan 26Robert ValentinL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ryan Loder · Aug 24L
vs Torrez Finney · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ateba GautierMetricRobert Valentin
4.32
Strikes / min
1.30
2.60
Strikes absorbed / min
2.72
54%
Strike defense
33%
0.41
TDs / 15 min
0.59
93%
Takedown defense
55%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.72Δ 3.14 — meaningful gap-1.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ateba GautierRobert Valentin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ateba Gautier(4 fights)Robert Valentin(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+53.5-53.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Ateba Gautier
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights4
Robert Valentin
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights3