Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ateba Gautier won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 4, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Ateba Gautier wins(69.3%)
Actual result: Ateba Gautier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ateba Gautier enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Ateba Gautier has 93pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ateba Gautier (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Ateba Gautier
Red Corner
VS
Tre'ston Vines
Blue Corner
-1800
(95%)
Vegas Odds
+980
(9%)
24
Age
29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'1"
205.74 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ateba GautierW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jose Daniel Medina · Mar 25W
KOvs Robert Valentin · Jul 25W
vs Andrey Pulyaev · Jan 26Tre'ston VinesNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ateba GautierMetricTre'ston Vines
4.32
Strikes / min
0.00
2.60
Strikes absorbed / min
3.56
54%
Strike defense
50%
0.41
TDs / 15 min
0.00
93%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.72Δ 5.28 — meaningful gap-3.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ateba GautierTre'ston Vines
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ateba Gautier(4 fights)Tre'ston Vines(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.2-33.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Ateba Gautier
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights4
Tre'ston Vines
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights1