Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Augusto Sakai won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 22, 2018·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupAugusto Sakai: Pressure fightervsChase Sherman: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Augusto Sakai wins(64.9%)
Actual result: Augusto Sakai wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chase Sherman is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Augusto Sakai has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Chase Sherman has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Augusto Sakai
Red Corner
VS
Chase Sherman
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
35
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Augusto Sakai
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · Sep 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Jun 21L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Dec 21L
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 22W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Feb 23Chase ShermanL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Jake Collier · Jan 22L
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Apr 22W
KOvs Jared Vanderaa · Jul 22L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Nov 22L
vs Karl Williams · May 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Augusto SakaiMetricChase Sherman
4.60
Strikes / min
6.04
3.83
Strikes absorbed / min
6.65
48%
Strike defense
52%
0.23
TDs / 15 min
0.09
56%
Takedown defense
74%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.77Δ 1.38 — meaningful gap-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Augusto SakaiChase Sherman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Augusto Sakai(9 fights)Chase Sherman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+25.7-25.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+46.9-46.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Augusto Sakai
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights9
Chase Sherman
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15