Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Augusto Sakai won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 25, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Augusto Sakai wins(50.7%)
Actual result: Augusto Sakai wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Augusto Sakai enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Don'Tale Mayes is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Augusto Sakai has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Don'Tale Mayes has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Augusto Sakai
Red Corner
VS
Don'Tale Mayes
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
35
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'6"
195.58 cm
Reach
205.74 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Augusto SakaiL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 20L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · Sep 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Jun 21L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Dec 21L
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 22Don'Tale MayesL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Nov 23W
vs Caio Machado · Apr 24L
vs Shamil Gaziev · Aug 24L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Feb 25L
vs Thomas Petersen · May 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Augusto SakaiMetricDon'Tale Mayes
4.60
Strikes / min
3.22
3.83
Strikes absorbed / min
3.61
48%
Strike defense
46%
0.23
TDs / 15 min
0.59
56%
Takedown defense
46%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.77Δ 1.16 — meaningful gap-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Augusto SakaiDon'Tale Mayes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Augusto Sakai(9 fights)Don'Tale Mayes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.515.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-231.0231.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Augusto Sakai
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights9
Don'Tale Mayes
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights10