Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Serghei Spivac won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 6, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAugusto Sakai: Pressure fightervsSerghei Spivac: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Serghei Spivac wins(52.2%)
Actual result: Serghei Spivac wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Augusto Sakai
Red Corner
VS
Serghei Spivac
Blue Corner
+260
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-315
(76%)
35
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Augusto Sakai
oldest →latest
W
vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 20L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · Sep 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Jun 21L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Dec 21W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Feb 23Serghei Spivac
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Sep 23W
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Aug 24L
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 25L
vs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jun 25W
vs Ante Delija · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Augusto SakaiMetricSerghei Spivac
4.60
Strikes / min
3.57
3.83
Strikes absorbed / min
4.23
48%
Strike defense
52%
0.23
TDs / 15 min
3.82
56%
Takedown defense
63%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.77Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap-0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Augusto SakaiSerghei Spivac
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Augusto Sakai(9 fights)Serghei Spivac(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.117.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Augusto Sakai
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights9
Serghei Spivac
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15