Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tai Tuivasa won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 11, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAugusto Sakai: Pressure fightervsTai Tuivasa: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Augusto Sakai wins(66.3%)
Actual result: Tai Tuivasa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tai Tuivasa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Tai Tuivasa is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Augusto Sakai has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tai Tuivasa (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Augusto Sakai
Red Corner
VS
Tai Tuivasa
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
35
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Augusto Sakai
oldest →latest
W
vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 20L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · Sep 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Jun 21L
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 22W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Feb 23Tai TuivasaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Dec 22L
SUBvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 23L
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 24L
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 24L
vs Tallison Teixeira · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Augusto SakaiMetricTai Tuivasa
4.60
Strikes / min
3.37
3.83
Strikes absorbed / min
4.61
48%
Strike defense
42%
0.23
TDs / 15 min
0.00
56%
Takedown defense
58%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.77Δ 2.01 — meaningful gap-1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Augusto SakaiTai Tuivasa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Augusto Sakai(9 fights)Tai Tuivasa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.713.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Augusto Sakai
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights9
Tai Tuivasa
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17