Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jhonata Diniz won · KO/TKO R2
AL
JD
Austen LanevsJhonata Diniz
UFC Event · Saturday, April 27, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Austen Lane wins(51.9%)
Actual result: Jhonata Diniz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Austen Lane enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jhonata Diniz has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jhonata Diniz has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Austen Lane
Red Corner
VS
Jhonata Diniz
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
38
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'6"
Height
6'4"
203.2 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Austen LaneL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Justin Tafa · Sep 23W
vs Robelis Despaigne · Oct 24L
KOvs Mario Pinto · Mar 25L
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · Jul 25L
KOvs Iwo Baraniewski · Mar 26Jhonata Diniz
oldest →latest
W
vs Karl Williams · Aug 24L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Nov 24W
vs Alvin Hines · Jun 25L
KOvs Mario Pinto · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Austen LaneMetricJhonata Diniz
2.70
Strikes / min
3.89
2.45
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
39%
Strike defense
56%
1.50
TDs / 15 min
0.00
33%
Takedown defense
70%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.25evenly matched on net striking+0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Austen LaneJhonata Diniz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Austen Lane(6 fights)Jhonata Diniz(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.413.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Austen Lane
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights6
Jhonata Diniz
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights5