Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mario Pinto won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 1, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Mario Pinto wins(53.4%)
Actual result: Mario Pinto wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mario Pinto is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Austen Lane has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Mario Pinto has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mario Pinto has 67pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Austen Lane
Red Corner
VS
Mario Pinto
Blue Corner
+420
(19%)
Vegas Odds
-550
(85%)
38
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'6"
Height
6'5"
203.2 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Austen LaneL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Justin Tafa · Sep 23L
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Apr 24W
vs Robelis Despaigne · Oct 24L
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · Jul 25L
KOvs Iwo Baraniewski · Mar 26Mario PintoW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Oct 25W
vs Felipe Franco · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Austen LaneMetricMario Pinto
2.70
Strikes / min
2.85
2.45
Strikes absorbed / min
1.93
39%
Strike defense
58%
1.50
TDs / 15 min
2.38
33%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.25evenly matched on net striking+0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Austen LaneMario Pinto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Austen Lane(6 fights)Mario Pinto(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.911.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Austen Lane
StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights6
Mario Pinto
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights3