Featherweight
3 Rounds
Austin Bashi won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 2, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAustin Bashi: WrestlervsJohn Yannis: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Austin Bashi wins(76.7%)
Actual result: Austin Bashi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Yannis has 26pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Yannis (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Austin Bashi
Red Corner
VS
John Yannis
Blue Corner
-1150
(92%)
Vegas Odds
+730
(12%)
24
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Austin Bashi
oldest →latest
L
vs Christian Rodriguez · Jan 25John YannisNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Austin BashiMetricJohn Yannis
1.75
Strikes / min
3.30
2.34
Strikes absorbed / min
1.26
48%
Strike defense
74%
7.81
TDs / 15 min
0.00
62%
Takedown defense
66%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.59Δ 2.63 — meaningful gap+2.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Austin BashiJohn Yannis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Austin Bashi(2 fights)John Yannis(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.514.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-48.848.8
Austin Bashi
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights2
John Yannis
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights1