Lightweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Hernandez won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 5, 2024·Salt Lake City, Utah, USA, USA
Style matchupAustin Hubbard: Well-roundedvsAlexander Hernandez: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Alexander Hernandez wins(52.3%)
Actual result: Alexander Hernandez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Hernandez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Austin Hubbard
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Hernandez
Blue Corner
-112
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-108
(52%)
34
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Austin HubbardL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Vinc Pichel · Aug 21L
SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · Aug 23W
vs Michal Figlak · Apr 24L
vs MarQuel Mederos · Mar 25L
vs Rongzhu · Aug 25Alexander HernandezW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Bill Algeo · Oct 23L
vs Damon Jackson · Apr 24W
vs Kurt Holobaugh · Mar 25W
KOvs Chase Hooper · Aug 25W
KOvs Diego Ferreira · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Austin HubbardMetricAlexander Hernandez
3.97
Strikes / min
4.23
4.10
Strikes absorbed / min
4.45
55%
Strike defense
59%
1.63
TDs / 15 min
1.05
68%
Takedown defense
68%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.13evenly matched on net striking-0.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Austin HubbardAlexander Hernandez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Austin Hubbard(10 fights)Alexander Hernandez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.015.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Austin Hubbard
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12
Alexander Hernandez
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17