Lightweight
3 Rounds
Austin Hubbard won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, April 17, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAustin Hubbard: Well-roundedvsDakota Bush: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Austin Hubbard wins(63.2%)
Actual result: Austin Hubbard wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Austin Hubbard has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Austin Hubbard has 68pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Austin Hubbard
Red Corner
VS
Dakota Bush
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
34
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Austin HubbardL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kurt Holobaugh · Aug 23W
vs Michal Figlak · Apr 24L
vs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 24L
vs MarQuel Mederos · Mar 25L
vs Rongzhu · Aug 25Dakota Bush
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Viacheslav Borshchev · Jan 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Austin HubbardMetricDakota Bush
3.97
Strikes / min
2.77
4.10
Strikes absorbed / min
4.42
55%
Strike defense
41%
1.63
TDs / 15 min
2.40
68%
Takedown defense
0%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.13Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap-1.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Austin HubbardDakota Bush
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Austin Hubbard(10 fights)Dakota Bush(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.713.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Austin Hubbard
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12
Dakota Bush
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2