Featherweight
3 Rounds
Melquizael Costa won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 15, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAustin Lingo: StrikervsMelquizael Costa: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Austin Lingo wins(58.5%)
Actual result: Melquizael Costa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Melquizael Costa enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Austin Lingo has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Melquizael Costa (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Austin Lingo
Red Corner
VS
Melquizael Costa
Blue Corner
+188
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-225
(69%)
31
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Austin Lingo
oldest →latest
L
vs Youssef Zalel · Feb 20W
vs Jacob Kilburn · Jan 21W
vs Luis Saldana · Aug 21L
SUBvs Nate Landwehr · Mar 23Melquizael CostaW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Andre Fili · Feb 25W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Mar 25W
vs Julian Erosa · May 25W
KOvs Morgan Charriere · Dec 25W
KOvs Dan Ige · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Austin LingoMetricMelquizael Costa
3.86
Strikes / min
4.38
4.86
Strikes absorbed / min
2.97
57%
Strike defense
54%
0.43
TDs / 15 min
2.00
75%
Takedown defense
58%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.00Δ 2.41 — meaningful gap+1.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Austin LingoMelquizael Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Austin Lingo(5 fights)Melquizael Costa(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.6-17.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Austin Lingo
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5
Melquizael Costa
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9