Welterweight
3 Rounds
Axel Sola won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 6, 2025·Paris, Ile-de-France, France, France
Style matchupAxel Sola: WrestlervsRhys McKee: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Axel Sola wins(73.0%)
Actual result: Axel Sola wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Axel Sola has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rhys McKee has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Axel Sola (53.5%).
- Rhys McKee has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Axel Sola
Red Corner
VS
Rhys McKee
Blue Corner
-136
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+116
(46%)
28
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Axel Sola
oldest →latest
L
vs Mason Jones · Mar 26Rhys McKee
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khamzat Chimaev · Jul 20L
vs Alex Morono · Nov 20L
vs Ange Loosa · Sep 23L
vs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 24W
KOvs Daniel Frunza · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Axel SolaMetricRhys McKee
4.07
Strikes / min
4.71
5.29
Strikes absorbed / min
7.15
61%
Strike defense
47%
2.22
TDs / 15 min
0.00
0%
Takedown defense
47%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.22Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap-2.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Axel SolaRhys McKee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Axel Sola(2 fights)Rhys McKee(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+44.5-44.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.7-49.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Axel Sola
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights2
Rhys McKee
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights6