Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Paulo Costa won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1551
Elo1503
Azamat MurzakanovvsPaulo Costa
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Saturday, April 11, 2026Miami, USA
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Azamat Murzakanov wins(58.3%)
Scouting Report
- Azamat Murzakanov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Azamat Murzakanov
Paulo Costa
—
Vegas Odds
—
1551
1503
37
35
Southpaw
Orthodox
5'10"
6'1"
180.34 cm
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Azamat Murzakanov
oldest →
KOvs Devin Clark · Aug 22
vs Dustin Jacoby · Apr 23
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Aug 24
KOvs Brendson Ribeiro · Jun 25
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Oct 25
latestPaulo Costa
oldest →
vs Marvin Vettori · Oct 21
vs Luke Rockhold · Aug 22
vs Robert Whittaker · Feb 24
vs Sean Strickland · Jun 24
vs Roman Kopylov · Jul 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Azamat MurzakanovMetricPaulo Costa
4.40
Strikes / min
6.15
3.20
Strikes absorbed / min
5.96
56%
Strike defense
49%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
0.30
88%
Takedown defense
77%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Azamat MurzakanovPaulo Costa
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Azamat Murzakanov
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6
Paulo Costa
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11