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Flyweight

3 Rounds

Charles Johnson won · U-DEC R3

Elo1467

Elo1507

Azat MaksumvsCharles JohnsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Saturday, February 3, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Charles Johnson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAzat Maksum: WrestlervsCharles Johnson: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Charles Johnson wins(56.1%)

Actual result: Charles Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Azat Maksum has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Charles Johnson (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Azat Maksum

Red Corner

Charles Johnson

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1467

Elo

1507

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

5'7"

Height

5'9"

177.8 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Azat MaksumL2 streak

oldest →

vs Tyson Nam · Jul 23

vs Tagir Ulanbekov · Jun 25

vs Mitch Raposo · Oct 25

latest

Charles Johnson

oldest →

vs Ramazan Temirov · Mar 25

KOvs Lone'er Kavanagh · Aug 25

KOvs Alex Perez · Jan 26

vs Bruno Silva · Mar 26

SUBvs Asu Almabayev · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Azat MaksumMetricCharles Johnson

2.75

Strikes / min

4.77

4.25

Strikes absorbed / min

4.02

52%

Strike defense

55%

3.50

TDs / 15 min

0.51

85%

Takedown defense

69%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.50Δ 2.25 — meaningful gap+0.75

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Azat MaksumCharles Johnson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Azat Maksum(4 fights)Charles Johnson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -39.2|Blue +39.2

Recent Form

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +126.0|Blue -126.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Azat MaksumTargetCharles Johnson

By target zone

18% acc · 66%

Head

38% acc · 38%

55% acc · 16%

Body

74% acc · 26%

70% acc · 18%

Leg

73% acc · 36%

By position

23% acc · 95%

Distance

52% acc · 87%

67% acc · 5%

Clinch

78% acc · 9%

Ground

75% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Azat Maksum rounds

even

Charles Johnson rounds

Round 1Azat Maksum edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control1:22

Knockdowns1

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Charles Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:27

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:28Control

Round 3Charles Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control0:40

39Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:11Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

38 / 163

Sig Strikes

76 / 140

23%

Sig Str %

51.7%

40 / 166

Total Strikes

81 / 149

2 / 7

TDs

2 / 6

22%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

2:29

Ctrl Time

0:47

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Charles Johnson	14 / 33	15 / 35	0 / 3	0
1	Azat Maksum	15 / 50	17 / 52	1 / 3	1
2	Charles Johnson	23 / 43	24 / 45	1 / 2	1
2	Azat Maksum	9 / 51	9 / 51	0 / 1	0
3	Charles Johnson	39 / 64	42 / 69	1 / 1	2
3	Azat Maksum	14 / 62	14 / 63	1 / 3	0

Azat Maksum

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4

Charles Johnson

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights15