Flyweight
3 Rounds
Mitch Raposo won · U-DEC R3
AM
MR
Azat MaksumvsMitch Raposo
UFC Event · Saturday, October 25, 2025Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupAzat Maksum: WrestlervsMitch Raposo: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Azat Maksum wins(50.4%)
Actual result: Mitch Raposo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Azat Maksum has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mitch Raposo (54.1%).
- Azat Maksum has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Azat Maksum
Red Corner
VS
Mitch Raposo
Blue Corner
-500
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+385
(21%)
31
Age
27
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'5"
177.8 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Azat MaksumL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tyson Nam · Jul 23L
vs Charles Johnson · Feb 24L
vs Tagir Ulanbekov · Jun 25Mitch RaposoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andre Lima · Jun 24L
vs Sumudaerji · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Azat MaksumMetricMitch Raposo
2.75
Strikes / min
1.73
4.25
Strikes absorbed / min
2.65
52%
Strike defense
61%
3.50
TDs / 15 min
2.54
85%
Takedown defense
61%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.50evenly matched on net striking-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Azat MaksumMitch Raposo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Azat Maksum(4 fights)Mitch Raposo(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.9-16.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Azat Maksum
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4
Mitch Raposo
StanceSwitch
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights3