Nate DiazvsDonald Cerrone

UFC Event · Friday, December 30, 2011 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Nate Diaz wins(53.2%)

Actual result: Nate Diaz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Nate Diaz

Red Corner

Donald Cerrone

Blue Corner

+255

(28%)

Vegas Odds

-280

(74%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'1"

193.04 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

30.9

Sig. Strikes

40.5

1.0

Takedowns

0.8

1.3

Sub Attempts

0.5

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-58.358.3

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+35.0-35.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.90.9

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-0.60.6

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

Nate Diaz

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights18

Donald Cerrone

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights37