Bogdan GradvsLuke Riley

UFC Event · Saturday, November 22, 2025 · Doha, Qatar, Qatar

Model Prediction: Bogdan Grad wins(65.9%)

Actual result: Luke Riley wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Bogdan Grad

Red Corner

Luke Riley

Blue Corner

+205

(33%)

Vegas Odds

-250

(71%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'9"

177.8 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

4.1

Sig. Strikes

5.6

4.2

Takedowns

0.0

Sub Attempts

0.0

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+0.7-0.7

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.20.2

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-49.549.5

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-49.549.5

Bogdan Grad

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights3

Luke Riley

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights2