Lightweight
3 Rounds
Kody Steele won · Submission R1
Elo1518
Elo1491
Dom Mar FanvsKody Steele
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · Saturday, May 2, 2026Perth, Australia
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Dom Mar Fan wins(71.0%)
Scouting Report
- Kody Steele has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Dom Mar Fan has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Dom Mar Fan
Kody Steele
—
Vegas Odds
—
1518
1491
26
31
Orthodox
Orthodox
5'11"
5'9"
190.5 cm
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Dom Mar Fan
oldest →
vs Sangwook Kim · Jan 26
latestKody Steele
oldest →
vs Rongzhu · Feb 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Dom Mar FanMetricKody Steele
3.43
Strikes / min
3.85
2.31
Strikes absorbed / min
6.20
44%
Strike defense
52%
1.84
TDs / 15 min
1.07
62%
Takedown defense
100%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Dom Mar FanKody Steele
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Dom Mar Fan
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights1
Kody Steele
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights1