Middleweight
3 Rounds
Baisangur Susurkaev won · Submission R3
Elo1534
Elo1507
Baisangur SusurkaevvsDjorden Santos
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · Saturday, May 9, 2026Newark, USA
Style matchup
Model Prediction: Baisangur Susurkaev wins(64.1%)
Scouting Report
- Baisangur Susurkaev threatens submissions; Djorden Santos has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Baisangur Susurkaev has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Baisangur Susurkaev has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Baisangur Susurkaev has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Baisangur Susurkaev
Djorden Santos
—
Vegas Odds
—
1534
1507
25
28
Orthodox
Orthodox
6'2"
6'0"
200.66 cm
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Baisangur Susurkaev
oldest →
SUBvs Eric Nolan · Aug 25
KOvs Eric McConico · Nov 25
latestDjorden Santos
oldest →
vs Ozzy Diaz · Mar 25
vs Danny Barlow · Oct 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Baisangur SusurkaevMetricDjorden Santos
5.74
Strikes / min
6.64
4.45
Strikes absorbed / min
6.35
58%
Strike defense
48%
2.09
TDs / 15 min
0.51
100%
Takedown defense
85%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Baisangur SusurkaevDjorden Santos
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Baisangur Susurkaev
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights3
Djorden Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3