Middleweight
3 Rounds
Baisangur Susurkaev won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 16, 2025·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupBaisangur Susurkaev: WrestlervsEric Nolan: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Baisangur Susurkaev wins(71.9%)
Actual result: Baisangur Susurkaev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Baisangur Susurkaev has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Baisangur Susurkaev has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Baisangur Susurkaev has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Baisangur Susurkaev
Red Corner
VS
Eric Nolan
Blue Corner
-900
(90%)
Vegas Odds
+610
(14%)
25
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'2"
200.66 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Baisangur Susurkaev
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Eric McConico · Nov 25Eric NolanNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Baisangur SusurkaevMetricEric Nolan
5.74
Strikes / min
3.14
4.45
Strikes absorbed / min
5.13
58%
Strike defense
41%
2.09
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
71%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.29Δ 3.28 — meaningful gap-1.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Baisangur SusurkaevEric Nolan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Baisangur Susurkaev(2 fights)Eric Nolan(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Baisangur Susurkaev
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights2
Eric Nolan
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights1