Middleweight
3 Rounds
Gerald Meerschaert won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, April 17, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupBartosz Fabinski: WrestlervsGerald Meerschaert: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Bartosz Fabinski wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Gerald Meerschaert wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gerald Meerschaert threatens submissions; Bartosz Fabinski has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Bartosz Fabinski has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gerald Meerschaert (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Bartosz Fabinski
Red Corner
VS
Gerald Meerschaert
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
40
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bartosz FabinskiL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Garreth McLellan · Apr 15W
vs Hector Urbina · Nov 15W
vs Emil Meek · Jul 18L
SUBvs Michel Prazeres · Nov 18L
SUBvs Andre Muniz · Sep 20Gerald MeerschaertL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 24L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24L
vs Brad Tavares · Apr 25L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bartosz FabinskiMetricGerald Meerschaert
2.23
Strikes / min
2.95
1.46
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
51%
Strike defense
53%
7.10
TDs / 15 min
1.70
80%
Takedown defense
40%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.77Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap-0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bartosz FabinskiGerald Meerschaert
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bartosz Fabinski(6 fights)Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+24.5-24.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Bartosz Fabinski
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6
Gerald Meerschaert
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights25