Dustin PoiriervsJustin Gaethje

UFC Event · Saturday, July 29, 2023 · Salt Lake City, Utah, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Justin Gaethje wins(55.0%)

Actual result: Justin Gaethje wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Dustin Poirier

Red Corner

Justin Gaethje

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'11"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

5.3

Sig. Strikes

6.8

1.2

Takedowns

0.1

1.3

Sub Attempts

0.0

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+100.1-100.1

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+126.0-126.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-0.30.3

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

Dustin Poirier

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights31

Justin Gaethje

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights15