Tim ElliottvsMatheus Nicolau

UFC Event · Saturday, October 9, 2021 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Tim Elliott wins(55.4%)

Actual result: Matheus Nicolau wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Tim Elliott

Red Corner

Matheus Nicolau

Blue Corner

+160

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-190

(66%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

167.64 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.4

Sig. Strikes

3.7

Takedowns

1.5

1.0

Sub Attempts

0.9

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-65.565.5

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+7.0-7.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.70.7

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.4-0.4

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

Tim Elliott

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights21

Matheus Nicolau

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights11