Lightweight
3 Rounds
Result: Red · KO/TKO R2
CP
IB
Chris PadillavsIsmael Bonfim
UFC Event · Saturday, November 8, 2025 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Chris Padilla wins(62.6%)
Actual result: Chris Padilla wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Chris Padilla
Red Corner
VS
Ismael Bonfim
Blue Corner
-118
(54%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
30
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'8"
187.96 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Career Averages (per fight)
4.8
Sig. Strikes
5.5
1.2
Takedowns
1.1
0.4
Sub Attempts
0.0
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+45.3-45.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Chris Padilla
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4
Ismael Bonfim
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5