Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ashlee Evans-Smith won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 7, 2018·Brooklyn, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupBec Rawlings: Pressure fightervsAshlee Evans-Smith: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Bec Rawlings wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Ashlee Evans-Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bec Rawlings enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ashlee Evans-Smith enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Bec Rawlings threatens submissions; Ashlee Evans-Smith has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Bec Rawlings has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Bec Rawlings
Red Corner
VS
Ashlee Evans-Smith
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
37
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
162.56 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bec RawlingsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Lisa Ellis · May 15W
vs Seohee Ham · Mar 16L
KOvs Paige VanZant · Aug 16L
vs Tecia Torres · Feb 17L
vs Jessica-Rose Clark · Nov 17Ashlee Evans-SmithL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ketlen Vieira · Apr 17L
SUBvs Sarah Moras · Sep 17L
vs Andrea Lee · Feb 19L
vs Norma Dumont · Nov 20L
vs Ailin Perez · Jul 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bec RawlingsMetricAshlee Evans-Smith
4.48
Strikes / min
4.03
5.66
Strikes absorbed / min
4.59
57%
Strike defense
53%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
0.95
68%
Takedown defense
50%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.18evenly matched on net striking-0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bec RawlingsAshlee Evans-Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bec Rawlings(7 fights)Ashlee Evans-Smith(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.614.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Bec Rawlings
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights7
Ashlee Evans-Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights9