Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Bec Rawlings won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 9, 2015·Adelaide, South Australia, Australia, Australia
Style matchupBec Rawlings: Pressure fightervsLisa Ellis: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Bec Rawlings wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Bec Rawlings wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bec Rawlings enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Bec Rawlings threatens submissions; Lisa Ellis has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Bec Rawlings has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Bec Rawlings
Red Corner
VS
Lisa Ellis
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
37
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'4"
162.56 cm
Reach
157.48 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bec RawlingsL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Seohee Ham · Mar 16L
KOvs Paige VanZant · Aug 16L
vs Tecia Torres · Feb 17L
vs Jessica-Rose Clark · Nov 17L
vs Ashlee Evans-Smith · Apr 18Lisa Ellis
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Felice Herrig · Dec 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bec RawlingsMetricLisa Ellis
4.48
Strikes / min
1.68
5.66
Strikes absorbed / min
2.32
57%
Strike defense
57%
0.71
TDs / 15 min
4.19
68%
Takedown defense
50%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.18evenly matched on net striking-0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Bec RawlingsLisa Ellis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bec Rawlings(7 fights)Lisa Ellis(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Bec Rawlings
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights7
Lisa Ellis
Stance—
Height64.0"
Reach—
Fights2