Welterweight
3 Rounds
Belal Muhammad won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, June 1, 2018·Utica, New York, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Belal Muhammad wins(77.1%)
Actual result: Belal Muhammad wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Belal Muhammad has 74pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chance Rencountre (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Belal Muhammad
Red Corner
VS
Chance Rencountre
Blue Corner
-450
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+360
(22%)
37
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'2"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Belal MuhammadL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Sean Brady · Oct 22W
vs Gilbert Burns · May 23W
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 24L
vs Jack Della Maddalena · May 25L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25Chance Rencountre
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Kyle Stewart · Jan 19W
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Jul 19L
KOvs Lyman Good · Nov 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Belal MuhammadMetricChance Rencountre
4.43
Strikes / min
1.10
3.82
Strikes absorbed / min
3.62
55%
Strike defense
49%
2.14
TDs / 15 min
1.35
90%
Takedown defense
16%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.61Δ 3.13 — meaningful gap-2.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Belal MuhammadChance Rencountre
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Belal Muhammad(10 fights)Chance Rencountre(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+46.1-46.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-46.846.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Belal Muhammad
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20
Chance Rencountre
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights4