Welterweight
3 Rounds
Geoff Neal won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 19, 2019·Brooklyn, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupBelal Muhammad: WrestlervsGeoff Neal: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Belal Muhammad wins(67.5%)
Actual result: Geoff Neal wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Geoff Neal (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Belal Muhammad
Red Corner
VS
Geoff Neal
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
37
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Belal MuhammadL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Sean Brady · Oct 22W
vs Gilbert Burns · May 23W
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 24L
vs Jack Della Maddalena · May 25L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25Geoff NealL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Mar 23L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Feb 24W
KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Oct 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 25L
KOvs Uros Medic · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Belal MuhammadMetricGeoff Neal
4.43
Strikes / min
5.02
3.82
Strikes absorbed / min
5.50
55%
Strike defense
57%
2.14
TDs / 15 min
0.54
90%
Takedown defense
87%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.61Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap-0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Belal MuhammadGeoff Neal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Belal Muhammad(10 fights)Geoff Neal(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+27.9-27.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+99.0-99.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.7-2.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Belal Muhammad
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20
Geoff Neal
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14