Welterweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Jack Della Maddalena won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, May 10, 2025·Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Canada
Style matchupBelal Muhammad: WrestlervsJack Della Maddalena: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Belal Muhammad wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Jack Della Maddalena wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Belal Muhammad has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jack Della Maddalena (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Belal Muhammad
Red Corner
VS
Jack Della Maddalena
Blue Corner
-198
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+166
(38%)
37
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Belal Muhammad
oldest →latest
W
vs Vicente Luque · Apr 22W
KOvs Sean Brady · Oct 22W
vs Gilbert Burns · May 23W
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 24L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25Jack Della Maddalena
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Randy Brown · Feb 23W
vs Bassil Hafez · Jul 23W
vs Kevin Holland · Sep 23W
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 24L
vs Islam Makhachev · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Belal MuhammadMetricJack Della Maddalena
4.43
Strikes / min
5.32
3.82
Strikes absorbed / min
4.24
55%
Strike defense
61%
2.14
TDs / 15 min
0.34
90%
Takedown defense
64%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.61evenly matched on net striking+1.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Belal MuhammadJack Della Maddalena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Belal Muhammad(10 fights)Jack Della Maddalena(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+82.4-82.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-140.0140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Belal Muhammad
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20
Jack Della Maddalena
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights9