Welterweight
3 Rounds
Belal Muhammad won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 7, 2019·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Belal Muhammad wins(72.2%)
Actual result: Belal Muhammad wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Takashi Sato enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Belal Muhammad has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Belal Muhammad has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Takashi Sato (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Belal Muhammad
Red Corner
VS
Takashi Sato
Blue Corner
-390
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+320
(24%)
37
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Belal MuhammadL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Sean Brady · Oct 22W
vs Gilbert Burns · May 23W
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 24L
vs Jack Della Maddalena · May 25L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25Takashi SatoL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jason Witt · Jun 20L
SUBvs Miguel Baeza · Nov 20L
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 22L
KOvs Bryan Battle · Aug 22L
vs Themba Gorimbo · May 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Belal MuhammadMetricTakashi Sato
4.43
Strikes / min
2.21
3.82
Strikes absorbed / min
3.73
55%
Strike defense
44%
2.14
TDs / 15 min
0.76
90%
Takedown defense
60%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.61Δ 2.13 — meaningful gap-1.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Belal MuhammadTakashi Sato
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Belal Muhammad(10 fights)Takashi Sato(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+43.3-43.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+3.4-3.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Belal Muhammad
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20
Takashi Sato
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7